153 days left

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation stay above 1,038 ft?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

4¢

4% implied

NO Price

96¢

96% implied

Volume

$4.5K

125 trades

Smart Whales

12

of 71 traders

How low will Lake Mead drop?

4 MARKETS · $23.5K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft

47¢−29¢$6.2K2/9

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft−29¢47¢

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft

24¢−9¢$2.2K2/11

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft−9¢24¢

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft

33¢−16¢$10.5K2/10

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft−16¢33¢

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation stay above 1,038 ft←

4¢+13¢$4.5K2/10

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation stay above 1,038 ft←+13¢4¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs10 NO

Wallets vs price

Price 4¢

YES 17%NO 83%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 4¢

Net of both-sides wallets: 20% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Teams by

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $416 is directional: YES $82·NO $334

YES Team

Total Invested

$82

Avg Win Rate

64.9%

Aggregate P&L

-$61(-75.2%)

Whales

2

Hugin-og-Munin🥇

Entry 17¢·360 shares

$-50INV $63 · WR 66.8%

Started-with-20-USDProven🥈

Entry 9¢·212.4 shares

$-11INV $19 · WR 58.5%

NO Team

Total Invested

$595

Avg Win Rate

77.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$131(+22.1%)

Whales

10

Hot-SkullHomelessBegger🥇

Entry 89¢·374.9 shares

+$27INV $334 · WR 72.1%

godblessme2026🥈

Entry 72¢·235 shares

+$57INV $169 · WR 87.9%

GingerMcKenna🥉

Entry 73¢·40 shares

+$9INV $29 · WR 84.3%

Entry 65¢·20 shares

+$6INV $13 · WR 79.2%

Entry 60¢·20 shares

+$7INV $12 · WR 87.5%

Entry 59¢·20 shares

+$7INV $12 · WR 86.1%

Entry 51¢·20 shares

+$9INV $10 · WR 62.5%

Entry 69¢·10 shares

+$3INV $7 · WR 84.8%

Entry 70¢·7 shares

+$2INV $5 · WR 70.6%

Entry 53¢·6.2 shares

+$3INV $3 · WR 71.9%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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