EconomicsResolved
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$200.2K
1,470 trades
Smart Whales
108
of 480 traders
Smart Money Consensus
66 YESvs42 NO
61%39%
61% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $24 is directional: YES $0·NO $24YES Team
Total Invested
$19.8K
Avg Win Rate
75.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$14.5K(+73.0%)
Whales
66
D
Debosnys🥇
Entry 98¢·3,869.5 shares
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
90.3%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $3.8K · WR 90.3%
B
bosshog◆Proven🥈
Entry 94¢·3,031.6 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$174
+$174INV $2.9K · WR 70.9%
D
Demanding-Epithelium◆Proven🥉
Entry 46¢·5,806.6 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$3126
+$3126INV $2.7K · WR 86.2%
I
ImJustKen
Entry 62¢·4,003.6 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$1518
+$1518INV $2.5K · WR 61.2%
4
0x4e25605f...hedged
Entry 82¢·1,778.7 shares·also $113 on NO
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$316
+$316INV $1.5K · WR 69.4%
K
Kidpoker007◆Proven
Entry 100¢·1,026 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1.0K · WR 82.1%
K
kinderSman
Entry 25¢·3,954.2 shares
Invested
$999
Win Rate
96.1%
Position P&L
+$2953
+$2953INV $999 · WR 96.1%
1
11122hedged
Entry 83¢·1,058.7 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$877
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$181
+$181INV $877 · WR 60.6%
A
AishahSofeyhedged
Entry 99¢·849 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$841
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $841 · WR 56.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 83¢·888.8 shares
Invested
$736
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$152
+$152INV $736 · WR 57.7%
Showing top 10 of 66
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.5K
Avg Win Rate
83.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$8.9K(-93.6%)
Whales
42
D
DiamondHands11◆Proven🥇
Entry 51¢·8,020 shares
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
$-4067
$-4067INV $4.1K · WR 89.1%
T
thegreengem🥈hedged
Entry 82¢·3,533.1 shares·also $69 on YES
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
$-2895
$-2895INV $2.9K · WR 87.1%
O
OddChain🥉
Entry 40¢·1,970 shares
Invested
$788
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-787
$-787INV $788 · WR 61.7%
N
nchgbhy◆Proven
Entry 69¢·500 shares
Invested
$346
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-345
$-345INV $346 · WR 83.3%
S
StarMasterhedged
Entry 70¢·400 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$280
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-280
$-280INV $280 · WR 55.4%
N
NiceDuckBro
Entry 69¢·331.1 shares
Invested
$228
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
$-227
$-227INV $228 · WR 65.3%
T
toywy
Entry 7¢·2,375 shares
Invested
$170
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
$-169
$-169INV $170 · WR 67.0%
4
0x4e25605f...hedged
Entry 12¢·973 shares·also $1.5K on YES
Invested
$113
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-113
$-113INV $113 · WR 69.4%
N
Newshound
Entry 12¢·200 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $24 · WR 57.1%
A
AishahSofeyhedged
Entry 0¢·3,000 shares·also $841 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 56.8%
Showing top 10 of 42
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