Economics76 days left
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$6.2K
220 trades
Smart Whales
33
of 85 traders
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
2 MARKETS · $17.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs23 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 60% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $367 is directional: YES $222·NO $145YES Team
Total Invested
$297
Avg Win Rate
64.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$247(-83.3%)
Whales
10
K
kanshifu🥇
Entry 11¢·1,200 shares
Invested
$136
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-104
$-104INV $136 · WR 58.3%
P
puravida🥈
Entry 22¢·296.1 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $64 · WR 59.8%
L
LinaBell🥉hedged
Entry 52¢·75.7 shares·also $18 on NO
Invested
$39
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $39 · WR 65.3%
B
0xb03b826a...hedged
Entry 71¢·41 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$29
Win Rate
90.1%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $29 · WR 90.1%
T
TronOG
Entry 30¢·71.4 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $21 · WR 78.0%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 5¢·65.8 shares·also $52 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 57.6%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 2¢·28.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 66.8%
Showing top 7 of 10
NO Team
Total Invested
$768
Avg Win Rate
75.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+194.9%)
Whales
23
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 31¢·635.1 shares
Invested
$199
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$421
+$421INV $199 · WR 85.8%
4
0x4e25605f...◆Proven🥈
Entry 79¢·176 shares
Invested
$139
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $139 · WR 69.4%
I
ImJustKen🥉
Entry 21¢·599.8 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$460
+$460INV $125 · WR 61.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 79¢·65.8 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$52
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $52 · WR 57.6%
I
IWant1Dollar
Entry 49¢·98.8 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $49 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 8¢·388.9 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$348
+$348INV $31 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 89.3%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 42¢·60.9 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $25 · WR 87.6%
P
paspor
Entry 79¢·27.7 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $22 · WR 85.8%
L
LinaBellhedged
Entry 24¢·75.7 shares·also $39 on YES
Invested
$18
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $18 · WR 65.3%
Showing top 10 of 23
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