GeopoliticsResolved

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$51.2K
2,076 trades
Smart Whales
39
of 198 traders

Smart Money Consensus

9 YESvs30 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 28 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6.9K is directional: YES $334·NO $6.6K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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