mentionu · Polymarket wallet 0x74d8…5a80

Wallet snapshot

mentionu has made 383 trades on Polymarket across 167 markets, $25K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (32%) and geopolitics (21%). On 156 resolved markets the win rate is 87.2%, lifetime P&L +$114. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?". Last trade: Oct 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?No · $338 · 99¢ → 99¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?No · $119 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?No · $99 · 99¢ → 99¢
• Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?No · $96 · 96¢ → 96¢
• Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?No · $88 · 98¢ → 98¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $78 · 45¢ → 52¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?No · $46 · 93¢ → 92¢
• Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No · $34 · 96¢ → 84¢
• Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No · $19 · 96¢ → 89¢
• Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No · $19 · 94¢ → 93¢

Latest closed positions

• Will a 8.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?No · +$1 · Oct 4, 2026
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No · +$3 · Oct 2, 2026
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No · +$4 · Oct 1, 2026
• Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Iran leadership change by September 30?No · +$2 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in September 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.