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Sports71 days left

Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$6.2K
129 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 54 traders · 2 on both sides

Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place

30 MARKETS · $138.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs18 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 76% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$225+23 new NO$1.2K
$119 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$49 of $208 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $121·NO $38
YES Team
Total Invested
$153
Avg Win Rate
70.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$323(+211.8%)
Whales
6
B
balthazar🥇hedged
Entry 2¢·5,644 shares·also $18 on NO
+$279INV $130 · WR 72.1%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 6¢·130 shares
+$2INV $7 · WR 69.4%
T
thekleenex🥉hedged
Entry 3¢·230.5 shares·also $14 on NO
+$11INV $6 · WR 62.1%
R
Romiche22Proven
Entry 2¢·344 shares
+$19INV $6 · WR 56.9%
B
BAO95889
Entry 1¢·160 shares
+$10INV $2 · WR 58.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 2¢·62 shares
+$3INV $1 · WR 87.6%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 24% YES: Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026…