YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$985
43 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 33 traders · 1 on both sides
Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place
30 MARKETS · $16.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
2¢—$5430/0Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—2¢
$5430/0
Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
58¢—$5.9K0/0Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—58¢
$5.9K0/0
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
25¢—$1.0K0/0Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—25¢
$1.0K0/0
Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
2¢—$5960/0Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—2¢
$5960/0
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢—$1.3K0/0Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—1¢
$1.3K0/0
Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or←
4¢—$9850/0Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or←—4¢
$9850/0
Will Fabian Ruiz finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Fabian Ruiz finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢—$1.0K0/0Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—1¢
$1.0K0/0
Will Pau Cubarsi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Pau Cubarsi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Erling Haaland finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
3¢—$5610/0Will Erling Haaland finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—3¢
$5610/0
Will Jude Bellingham finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
2¢—$5980/0Will Jude Bellingham finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—2¢
$5980/0
Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
3¢—$4990/0Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—3¢
$4990/0
Will Vinícius Júnior finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢—$6440/0Will Vinícius Júnior finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—1¢
$6440/0
Will Declan Rice finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
3¢—$5280/0Will Declan Rice finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—3¢
$5280/0
Will Vitinha finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$1.1K0/0Will Vitinha finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$1.1K0/0
Will Achraf Hakimi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Achraf Hakimi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Bruno Fernandes finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Bruno Fernandes finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Luis Diaz finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Luis Diaz finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Lautaro Martinez finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
2¢—$5610/0Will Lautaro Martinez finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—2¢
$5610/0
Will Marc Cucurella finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Marc Cucurella finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$600/0Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$600/0
Will Sadio Mané finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢—$00/0Will Sadio Mané finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—1¢
$00/0
Will Marquinhos finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Marquinhos finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Nuno Mendes finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Nuno Mendes finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will João Neves finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will João Neves finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Willian Pacho finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Willian Pacho finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Julián Quiñones finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Julián Quiñones finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will William Saliba finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will William Saliba finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs12 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 39% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$96+21 new NO$1.1K
$22 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $79 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $30·NO $47YES Team
Total Invested
$31
Avg Win Rate
58.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-1.8%)
Whales
4
A
ayosussybenny🥇
Entry 9¢·309.4 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $28 · WR 56.8%
A
aliiz🥈
Entry 6¢·22 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 65.1%
D
donthackme🥉hedged
Entry 2¢·62 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1 · WR 87.7%
K
korda77
Entry 1¢·2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 85.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$299
Avg Win Rate
84.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$38(+12.8%)
Whales
12
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 96¢·83 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $80 · WR 88.7%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 95¢·42.4 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $40 · WR 72.1%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 94¢·30 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $28 · WR 89.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 94¢·30 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $28 · WR 85.9%
P
pollo07
Entry 96¢·21 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 80.7%
K
kaxel78
Entry 96¢·21 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 85.4%
K
klli27
Entry 96¢·21 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 86.0%
A
akroll
Entry 96¢·21 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 86.6%
S
Slight-Nation-Barge
Entry 92¢·18 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
94.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $17 · WR 94.1%
M
melchior1248
Entry 95¢·17 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $16 · WR 69.4%
Showing top 10 of 12
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