YES Price
58¢
58% implied
NO Price
42¢
42% implied
Volume
$5.9K
158 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 75 traders
Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place
30 MARKETS · $16.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
2¢—$5430/0Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—2¢
$5430/0
Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or←
58¢—$5.9K0/0Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or←—58¢
$5.9K0/0
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
25¢—$1.0K0/0Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—25¢
$1.0K0/0
Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
2¢—$5960/0Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—2¢
$5960/0
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢—$1.3K0/0Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—1¢
$1.3K0/0
Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
4¢—$9850/0Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—4¢
$9850/0
Will Fabian Ruiz finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Fabian Ruiz finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢—$1.0K0/0Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—1¢
$1.0K0/0
Will Pau Cubarsi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Pau Cubarsi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Erling Haaland finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
3¢—$5610/0Will Erling Haaland finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—3¢
$5610/0
Will Jude Bellingham finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
2¢—$5980/0Will Jude Bellingham finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—2¢
$5980/0
Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
3¢—$4990/0Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—3¢
$4990/0
Will Vinícius Júnior finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢—$6440/0Will Vinícius Júnior finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—1¢
$6440/0
Will Declan Rice finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
3¢—$5280/0Will Declan Rice finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—3¢
$5280/0
Will Vitinha finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$1.1K0/0Will Vitinha finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$1.1K0/0
Will Achraf Hakimi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Achraf Hakimi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Bruno Fernandes finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Bruno Fernandes finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Luis Diaz finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Luis Diaz finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Lautaro Martinez finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
2¢—$5610/0Will Lautaro Martinez finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—2¢
$5610/0
Will Marc Cucurella finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Marc Cucurella finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$600/0Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$600/0
Will Sadio Mané finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢—$00/0Will Sadio Mané finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—1¢
$00/0
Will Marquinhos finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Marquinhos finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Nuno Mendes finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Nuno Mendes finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will João Neves finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will João Neves finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Willian Pacho finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Willian Pacho finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Julián Quiñones finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Julián Quiñones finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will William Saliba finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will William Saliba finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs16 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 28% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 62%· net of hedges
+43 new YES$14.2K+54 new NO$8.9K
$1.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 22 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales17 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.6K is directional: YES $741·NO $1.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$752
Avg Win Rate
81.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$143(+19.0%)
Whales
4
C
Cypya◆Proven🥇
Entry 56¢·1,274 shares
Invested
$719
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$103
+$103INV $719 · WR 81.3%
T
TheGreatBeta🥈
Entry 50¢·42 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $21 · WR 90.9%
R
RandyHickey🥉hedged
Entry 54¢·20 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 55.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 2¢·52.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $1 · WR 87.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.2K
Avg Win Rate
69.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$289(-13.1%)
Whales
16
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 38¢·2,083.4 shares
Invested
$799
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $799 · WR 72.1%
A
aliiz🥈
Entry 45¢·1,530.2 shares
Invested
$687
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-144
$-144INV $687 · WR 65.1%
E
Eminent-Snake🥉
Entry 44¢·564.9 shares
Invested
$250
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $250 · WR 66.7%
M
melchior1248
Entry 42¢·440 shares
Invested
$185
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $185 · WR 69.4%
A
ayosussybenny
Entry 43¢·297.2 shares
Invested
$128
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $128 · WR 56.8%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 43¢·115.2 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $49 · WR 88.7%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 59¢·40 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $24 · WR 85.8%
K
korda77
Entry 44¢·34 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $15 · WR 85.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 45¢·30 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $14 · WR 85.9%
I
Icy-Hedge-Shout
Entry 54¢·18 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
95.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 95.1%
Showing top 10 of 16
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1084ms