49 days left
Will global temperature increase by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in November 2026?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$5.7K
73 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 43 traders
November 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
6 MARKETS · $17.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in November 2026
1¢−1¢$1.3K0/10by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in November 2026−1¢1¢
$1.3K0/10
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in November 2026←
1¢−1¢$5.7K0/12by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in November 2026←−1¢1¢
$5.7K0/12
by between 1.45ºC and 1.49ºC in November 2026
3¢−3¢$3.5K0/11by between 1.45ºC and 1.49ºC in November 2026−3¢3¢
$3.5K0/11
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs12 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 1¢
YES 0%NO 100%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 1¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $618 is directional: YES $0·NO $618YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
78.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$104(+7.1%)
Whales
12
B
balerinacapuchina🥇
Entry 84¢·573.3 shares
Invested
$483
Win Rate
70.7%
Position P&L
+$82
+$82INV $483 · WR 70.7%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 99¢·346.6 shares
Invested
$343
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $343 · WR 87.7%
C
Corny-Hyphenation🥉
Entry 87¢·156 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $135 · WR 68.7%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 99¢·135 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $133 · WR 86.1%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 100¢·120 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $120 · WR 79.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 100¢·92.6 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $92 · WR 87.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 100¢·50 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $50 · WR 71.9%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 86.6%
X
xiaoxiaocangying
Entry 100¢·25 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $25 · WR 84.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 81¢·30 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $24 · WR 88.5%
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