Resolved
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in September 2025?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$793.7K
1,603 trades
Smart Whales
70
of 354 traders
September 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
7 MARKETS · $795.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
25¢−25¢$1640/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−25¢25¢
$1640/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
33¢—$50/0by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026—33¢
$50/0
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
44¢—$950/0by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026—44¢
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs63 NO
10%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$151
Avg Win Rate
62.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$148(-98.3%)
Whales
7
L
lmueller🥇
Entry 6¢·2,060 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-130
$-130INV $130 · WR 63.3%
G
gopfan2🥈hedged
Entry 1¢·2,756.8 shares·also $6.0K on NO
Invested
$17
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 60.2%
R
Rosalie600🥉hedged
Entry 0¢·314 shares·also $312 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 60.0%
Showing top 3 of 7
NO Team
Total Invested
$21.1K
Avg Win Rate
73.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$446.3K(+2113.1%)
Whales
63
G
gopfan2🥇hedged
Entry 96¢·6,270.8 shares·also $17 on YES
Invested
$6.0K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$275
+$275INV $6.0K · WR 60.2%
C
Cookedtan◆Proven🥈
Entry 35¢·11,844.8 shares
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$7708
+$7708INV $4.1K · WR 85.1%
A
aureli◆Proven🥉
Entry 99¢·3,204.6 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $3.2K · WR 65.2%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 32¢·8,484.2 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$5790
+$5790INV $2.7K · WR 87.6%
B
BeN◆Proven
Entry 97¢·1,300 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $1.3K · WR 66.8%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 23¢·4,035.7 shares
Invested
$934
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$3102
+$3102INV $934 · WR 85.8%
A
aenews2◆Proven
Entry 0¢·273,225 shares
Invested
$605
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$272620
+$272620INV $605 · WR 74.6%
G
Gaujmalietis
Entry 99¢·500 shares
Invested
$497
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $497 · WR 87.2%
R
Rosalie600hedged
Entry 99¢·314 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$312
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $312 · WR 60.0%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 37¢·802 shares
Invested
$296
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$506
+$506INV $296 · WR 83.8%
Showing top 10 of 63
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