Resolved
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95ºC and 0.99ºC in August 2025?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$109.2K
1,262 trades
Smart Whales
40
of 129 traders
August 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
7 MARKETS · $111.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
23¢−23¢$1640/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−23¢23¢
$1640/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
24¢—$1470/0by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026—24¢
$1470/0
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
44¢—$950/0by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026—44¢
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs30 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$970
Avg Win Rate
67.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$728(-75.0%)
Whales
10
D
Drunken-Mentat🥇
Entry 9¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$189
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
$-189
$-189INV $189 · WR 75.4%
S
Steep-Public🥈hedged
Entry 56¢·293.2 shares·also $158 on NO
Invested
$164
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
$-164
$-164INV $164 · WR 69.9%
G
gopfan2🥉hedged
Entry 106¢·148.6 shares·also $59 on NO
Invested
$157
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-157
$-157INV $157 · WR 60.2%
C
CPUhedged
Entry 76¢·145.2 shares·also $45 on NO
Invested
$110
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-110
$-110INV $110 · WR 64.0%
L
lmuellerhedged
Entry 74¢·145 shares·also $100 on NO
Invested
$107
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-107
$-107INV $107 · WR 63.3%
Showing top 5 of 10
NO Team
Total Invested
$23.9K
Avg Win Rate
79.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$7.8K(+32.6%)
Whales
30
A
aenews2◆Proven🥇
Entry 100¢·8,383.8 shares
Invested
$8.4K
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $8.4K · WR 74.6%
W
wokerjoesleeper🥈
Entry 76¢·8,610 shares
Invested
$6.5K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$2060
+$2060INV $6.5K · WR 87.6%
4
456ythgbvcadscvb🥉
Entry 98¢·2,508.2 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $2.5K · WR 77.6%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 64¢·2,989.8 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$1082
+$1082INV $1.9K · WR 83.8%
A
aureli◆Proven
Entry 32¢·2,476.4 shares
Invested
$787
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$1689
+$1689INV $787 · WR 65.2%
S
shine
Entry 99¢·621 shares
Invested
$617
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $617 · WR 89.3%
M
montty
Entry 99¢·611 shares
Invested
$603
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $603 · WR 73.6%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 67¢·530.6 shares
Invested
$355
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$176
+$176INV $355 · WR 80.8%
O
Oompa-Loompa◆Proven
Entry 100¢·300 shares
Invested
$299
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $299 · WR 69.8%
E
EdwardLewis
Entry 69¢·429.9 shares
Invested
$297
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$133
+$133INV $297 · WR 89.0%
Showing top 10 of 30
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