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Politics188 days left

Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
33¢
33% implied
NO Price
67¢
67% implied
Volume
$3.1K
142 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 65 traders

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

15 MARKETS · $63.3K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs6 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 69%
+2 new YES$155+1 new NO$351
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $541 is directional: YES $114·NO $426
YES Team
Total Invested
$126
Avg Win Rate
73.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$57(-45.4%)
Whales
6
1
0x193df6f9...🥇
Entry 48¢·140.2 shares
$-29INV $68 · WR 80.0%
U
Urwelcom🥈
Entry 60¢·57.4 shares
$-19INV $34 · WR 68.5%
V
Vusion🥉hedged
Entry 42¢·27 shares·also $11 on NO
$-3INV $11 · WR 58.3%
D
DeuraJr.
Entry 68¢·14.8 shares
$-6INV $10 · WR 66.2%
H
Hot-SkullProven
Entry 45¢·2.4 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 70.2%
P
PhileasFogg
Entry 38¢·2.7 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 76.9%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 50% YES: François Hollande announce their…