GeopoliticsResolved
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$314.6K
3,550 trades
Smart Whales
70
of 978 traders
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
2 MARKETS · $328.8K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs56 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$911
Avg Win Rate
59.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$907(-99.6%)
Whales
14
M
mombil◆Proven🥇
Entry 8¢·4,835.7 shares
Invested
$398
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-398
$-398INV $398 · WR 60.4%
S
ScottyNooo🥈hedged
Entry 11¢·2,572.6 shares·also $974 on NO
Invested
$271
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-271
$-271INV $271 · WR 56.0%
I
iutwpfal🥉hedged
Entry 5¢·1,399.9 shares·also $1.3K on NO
Invested
$68
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $68 · WR 74.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 10¢·502.4 shares·also $363 on NO
Invested
$50
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $50 · WR 57.7%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 4¢·843.8 shares·also $535 on NO
Invested
$37
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $37 · WR 56.3%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 10¢·200 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $21 · WR 70.5%
F
Faston
Entry 15¢·111 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 55.2%
L
LetTheGoodTimesRollhedged
Entry 13¢·112 shares·also $71 on NO
Invested
$15
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 56.8%
S
s324c
Entry 9¢·162.4 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $14 · WR 65.9%
O
Oskoreiter
Entry 11¢·109.1 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 55.8%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$17.9K
Avg Win Rate
80.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.2K(+6.9%)
Whales
56
T
toufik-la-moula🥇
Entry 98¢·6,540.5 shares
Invested
$6.4K
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
+$140
+$140INV $6.4K · WR 91.4%
E
ED99999🥈
Entry 89¢·4,299.7 shares
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$491
+$491INV $3.8K · WR 73.6%
B
Bromley86◆Proven🥉
Entry 98¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $1.5K · WR 90.8%
I
iutwpfalhedged
Entry 91¢·1,399.9 shares·also $68 on YES
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$129
+$129INV $1.3K · WR 74.1%
S
ScottyNooohedged
Entry 95¢·1,026.8 shares·also $271 on YES
Invested
$974
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $974 · WR 56.0%
T
TraderQuant
Entry 93¢·1,017.5 shares
Invested
$941
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$76
+$76INV $941 · WR 87.2%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven
Entry 94¢·572.2 shares
Invested
$537
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $537 · WR 90.9%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 92¢·579.1 shares·also $37 on YES
Invested
$535
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $535 · WR 56.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 72¢·502.4 shares·also $50 on YES
Invested
$363
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$140
+$140INV $363 · WR 57.7%
S
selters
Entry 92¢·270.9 shares
Invested
$250
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $250 · WR 71.9%
Showing top 10 of 56
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