Geopolitics4 days left
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$8.9K
279 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 93 traders
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 19?
5 MARKETS · $15.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25
49¢−35¢$2.3K1/6Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25−35¢49¢
$2.3K1/6
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25
40¢−7¢$2.6K2/4Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25−7¢40¢
$2.6K2/4
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25
6¢−6¢$8390/6Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25−6¢6¢
$8390/6
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Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs5 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$22+13 new NO$199
$26 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.9K is directional: YES $54·NO $3.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$54
Avg Win Rate
60.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-1.2%)
Whales
4
J
johnashbough🥇
Entry 18¢·210.5 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $37 · WR 55.6%
N
nobody666🥈
Entry 23¢·50 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $12 · WR 71.0%
R
romanew-crypto🥉
Entry 15¢·22.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 66.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 7¢·28.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $2 · WR 72.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.0K
Avg Win Rate
82.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$113(-2.8%)
Whales
5
K
Ko-san-123🥇
Entry 86¢·4,553.1 shares
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-125
$-125INV $3.9K · WR 82.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 94¢·50 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $47 · WR 85.9%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 96¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
—
—INV $29 · WR 88.1%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 85.9%
L
luciebot
Entry 75¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 83.4%
Smart Whale Trades
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