GeopoliticsResolved
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$173.3K
691 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 227 traders
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
2 MARKETS · $180.5K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs25 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $17.2K is directional: YES $163·NO $17.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$186
Avg Win Rate
65.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$186(-100.0%)
Whales
4
P
peterfromfamilyguy🥇
Entry 2¢·3,463 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-86
$-86INV $86 · WR 60.5%
M
meagainsttheworld◆Proven🥈
Entry 2¢·4,488.5 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $77 · WR 64.8%
C
classified◆Proven🥉
Entry 0¢·24,492.4 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $23 · WR 82.7%
Showing top 3 of 4
NO Team
Total Invested
$77.6K
Avg Win Rate
88.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$40.7K(+52.4%)
Whales
25
S
scout🥇
Entry 51¢·69,206.8 shares
Invested
$35.6K
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
+$33605
+$33605INV $35.6K · WR 92.0%
M
MrNoItAll🥈
Entry 80¢·24,018.2 shares
Invested
$19.3K
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
+$4713
+$4713INV $19.3K · WR 89.6%
V
VortexTrading🥉
Entry 99¢·8,717.5 shares
Invested
$8.6K
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$82
+$82INV $8.6K · WR 83.9%
V
VortexBet
Entry 99¢·5,071.9 shares
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $5.0K · WR 87.6%
C
charlatta
Entry 99¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $2.0K · WR 87.3%
B
Boardley
Entry 95¢·951 shares
Invested
$905
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $905 · WR 80.0%
B
Balcom
Entry 95¢·950 shares
Invested
$901
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $901 · WR 58.3%
A
Adlam
Entry 95¢·950 shares
Invested
$901
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $901 · WR 70.0%
W
Westbur
Entry 95¢·900 shares
Invested
$855
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $855 · WR 60.0%
W
Wyndhambur
Entry 95¢·900 shares
Invested
$855
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $855 · WR 63.6%
Showing top 10 of 25
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