Geopolitics31 days left
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$80.2K
383 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 189 traders
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
2 MARKETS · $129.1K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs8 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%
+7 new YES$135+8 new NO$4.9K
2 smart whales2 smart whales
YES Team
Total Invested
$106
Avg Win Rate
64.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$46(+43.3%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.9K
Avg Win Rate
81.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$38(+0.7%)
Whales
8
M
MrNoItAll🥇
Entry 97¢·2,272.4 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
91.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $2.2K · WR 91.6%
T
Tenebrus7🥈
Entry 96¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$959
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $959 · WR 74.4%
A
Ashmerebury🥉
Entry 95¢·900 shares
Invested
$855
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $855 · WR 60.0%
V
VortexBet
Entry 98¢·500 shares
Invested
$488
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $488 · WR 87.0%
T
Talophex
Entry 97¢·500 shares
Invested
$487
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $487 · WR 92.0%
G
groth
Entry 90¢·500 shares
Invested
$450
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $450 · WR 67.2%
V
VortexTrading
Entry 97¢·405.1 shares
Invested
$394
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $394 · WR 82.7%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 96¢·24 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $23 · WR 69.4%
Smart Whale Trades
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