Geopolitics5 days left
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?
YES Price
65¢
65% implied
NO Price
35¢
35% implied
Volume
$17.6K
599 trades
Smart Whales
40
of 203 traders
October Inflation China - Annual
5 MARKETS · $59.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026
4¢+19¢$10.6K5/17by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026+19¢4¢
$10.6K5/17
by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026←
65¢−25¢$17.6K16/24by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026←−25¢65¢
$17.6K16/24
by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026
28¢+5¢$21.9K8/16by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026+5¢28¢
$21.9K8/16
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
16 YESvs24 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+18 new YES$166+24 new NO$870
$208 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $439 is directional: YES $133·NO $306YES Team
Total Invested
$139
Avg Win Rate
64.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$268(+192.0%)
Whales
16
S
SnapElectionAvoider◆Proven🥇
Entry 20¢·478.5 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$237
+$237INV $96 · WR 62.6%
P
Pointed-Pomegranate🥈
Entry 43¢·40 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
72.5%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $17 · WR 72.5%
I
itsjustcheddar🥉
Entry 27¢·30 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $8 · WR 80.4%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 45¢·11.3 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 60.4%
F
firegold
Entry 47¢·3.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 59.5%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 46¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 57.5%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 46¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 60.2%
7
0x711966d0...
Entry 49¢·2.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 60.8%
4
0x40a53f6a...
Entry 50¢·2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 56.0%
5
0x56187cd0...
Entry 49¢·2.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.3%
Showing top 10 of 16
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
75.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$509(-41.5%)
Whales
24
A
Antony82🥇
Entry 59¢·500.8 shares
Invested
$297
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-145
$-145INV $297 · WR 62.8%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 59¢·471.5 shares
Invested
$280
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-115
$-115INV $280 · WR 86.2%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 53¢·482.2 shares
Invested
$254
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-86
$-86INV $254 · WR 88.0%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 62¢·162.3 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $100 · WR 60.2%
C
C.PM
Entry 60¢·155 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $93 · WR 85.8%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 60¢·143 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $86 · WR 59.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 71¢·44.7 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $32 · WR 79.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 61¢·29.7 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $18 · WR 72.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 35¢·36.9 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
—
—INV $13 · WR 88.7%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 64¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $13 · WR 60.1%
Showing top 10 of 24
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