Geopolitics20 days left
Will China’s CPI increase by between 1.1% and 1.2% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$4.6K
112 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 72 traders
October Inflation China - Annual
5 MARKETS · $19.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026
9¢+21¢$2.8K6/14by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026+21¢9¢
$2.8K6/14
by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026
37¢−6¢$4.2K5/11by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026−6¢37¢
$4.2K5/11
by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026
43¢−14¢$6.1K5/12by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026−14¢43¢
$6.1K5/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs15 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 40% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$226+20 new NO$2.3K
$58 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $14 is directional: YES $6·NO $8YES Team
Total Invested
$7
Avg Win Rate
77.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-10.3%)
Whales
3
I
itsjustcheddar🥇
Entry 19¢·30 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 80.7%
A
Antony82🥈
Entry 6¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
—
—INV $1 · WR 62.2%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique🥉hedged
Entry 1¢·11.3 shares·also $49 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 59.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
66.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$519(+49.9%)
Whales
15
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥇
Entry 52¢·913.3 shares
Invested
$472
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$387
+$387INV $472 · WR 63.6%
H
Hasty-Worker🥈
Entry 89¢·170.1 shares
Invested
$151
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $151 · WR 59.9%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 56¢·250 shares
Invested
$141
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$94
+$94INV $141 · WR 85.9%
L
Limping-Baggie-Techniquehedged
Entry 88¢·55.4 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$49
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $49 · WR 59.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 75¢·44.7 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $34 · WR 79.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 76¢·40 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $30 · WR 72.1%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 89¢·27.1 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $24 · WR 59.9%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 89¢·27 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $24 · WR 59.6%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 89¢·27 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $24 · WR 59.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 86¢·25 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $22 · WR 79.6%
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