Geopolitics20 days left
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?
YES Price
43¢
43% implied
NO Price
57¢
57% implied
Volume
$6.1K
152 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 82 traders
October Inflation China - Annual
5 MARKETS · $19.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026
9¢+21¢$2.8K6/14by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026+21¢9¢
$2.8K6/14
by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026
37¢−6¢$4.2K5/11by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026−6¢37¢
$4.2K5/11
by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026←
43¢−14¢$6.1K5/12by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026←−14¢43¢
$6.1K5/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs12 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 52%· net of hedges
+31 new YES$1.5K+29 new NO$1.7K
$309 of this was bought on both sides by the same 13 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $150 is directional: YES $17·NO $132YES Team
Total Invested
$22
Avg Win Rate
72.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$10(+45.8%)
Whales
4
P
Pointed-Pomegranate🥇
Entry 39¢·20 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 73.3%
I
itsjustcheddar🥈
Entry 26¢·30 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $8 · WR 80.7%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash🥉hedged
Entry 37¢·11.3 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 59.8%
A
Ainocry.
Entry 20¢·9.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 62.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$566
Avg Win Rate
68.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$37(-6.5%)
Whales
12
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 58¢·250 shares
Invested
$144
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $144 · WR 85.9%
A
Antony82🥈
Entry 59¢·223 shares
Invested
$132
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $132 · WR 62.2%
P
Pure-Eyeliner🥉
Entry 65¢·133.3 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $87 · WR 56.8%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 65¢·133 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $86 · WR 59.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 57¢·44.7 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $25 · WR 79.7%
M
melchior1248
Entry 57¢·40 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $23 · WR 69.4%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ashhedged
Entry 67¢·30.4 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$20
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $20 · WR 59.8%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 67¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $13 · WR 59.7%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 63¢·19 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 · WR 59.4%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 65¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 84.3%
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