Polymarket wallet 0x40a5…454c

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x40a5…454c has made 105 trades on Polymarket across 60 markets, $162 in volume. Most of it is in economics (21%) and geopolitics (10%). On 52 resolved markets the win rate is 57.7%, lifetime P&L +$1. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?Yes · $2 · 23¢ → 52¢
• Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?Yes · $2 · 35¢ → 63¢
• Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?No · $2 · 51¢ → 89¢
• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?No · $1 · 68¢ → 65¢
• Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?No · $1 · 60¢ → 47¢

Latest closed positions

• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16?No · +$2 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?No · -$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Yes · +$0 · Oct 16, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?Yes · +$2 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?No · +$1 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?Yes · -$1 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.