GeopoliticsResolved

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$1.94M
31,094 trades
Smart Whales
695
of 5,761 traders · 4 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

308 YESvs391 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 53% YES by dollars · 181 YES vs 270 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$132 of $6.3K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $32 is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $3.3K·NO $2.9K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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