111 days left
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
YES Price
40¢
40% implied
NO Price
60¢
60% implied
Volume
$447.5K
7,260 trades
Smart Whales
180
of 1,259 traders · 1 on both sides
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
7 MARKETS · $986.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026
61¢−24¢$283.3K50/84Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026−24¢61¢
$283.3K50/84
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026
0¢+30¢$74.8K18/43Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026+30¢0¢
$74.8K18/43
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026←
40¢0¢$447.5K72/108Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026←0¢40¢
$447.5K72/108
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026
0¢+24¢$181.0K20/64Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026+24¢0¢
$181.0K20/64
Will Movie C have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026
0¢+100¢$019/0Will Movie C have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026+100¢0¢
$019/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
76 YESvs105 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 58% YES by dollars · 54 YES vs 21 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 55%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$590+16 new NO$684
$267 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$7.8K of $51.8K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $25.7K·NO $18.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$41.1K
Avg Win Rate
70.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$13.5K(-32.8%)
Whales
76
R
Red781RuM🥇
Entry 66¢·16,619.9 shares
Invested
$11.0K
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-4514
$-4514INV $11.0K · WR 57.0%
C
cat-dog🥈hedged
Entry 70¢·14,561.2 shares·also $5.1K on NO
Invested
$10.1K
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
$-4380
$-4380INV $10.1K · WR 81.1%
G
GvLBV🥉
Entry 60¢·16,158.7 shares
Invested
$9.7K
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-3389
$-3389INV $9.7K · WR 79.7%
I
ImJustKenhedged
Entry 38¢·10,247.6 shares·also $4.5K on NO
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $3.9K · WR 61.2%
M
Monies-For-Nuggies
Entry 54¢·1,922.1 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
$-295
$-295INV $1.0K · WR 84.4%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 56¢·1,623.3 shares·also $968 on NO
Invested
$908
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-267
$-267INV $908 · WR 55.3%
S
Shijiebeiii
Entry 40¢·1,026.2 shares
Invested
$412
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $412 · WR 60.0%
I
inno
Entry 51¢·791.4 shares
Invested
$406
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-97
$-97INV $406 · WR 57.7%
A
Awestin.eth
Entry 78¢·500 shares
Invested
$390
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-195
$-195INV $390 · WR 55.8%
A
Annihilation
Entry 53¢·645.8 shares
Invested
$343
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-91
$-91INV $343 · WR 65.1%
Showing top 10 of 76
NO Team
Total Invested
$53.5K
Avg Win Rate
80.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$8.6K(+16.0%)
Whales
105
S
schizohedgehog🥇
Entry 63¢·21,582.7 shares
Invested
$13.5K
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-350
$-350INV $13.5K · WR 85.2%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 48¢·12,001.2 shares
Invested
$5.7K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1520
+$1520INV $5.7K · WR 87.7%
C
cat-dog🥉hedged
Entry 35¢·14,703.8 shares·also $10.1K on YES
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
+$3808
+$3808INV $5.1K · WR 81.1%
I
ImJustKenhedged
Entry 66¢·6,936.3 shares·also $3.9K on YES
Invested
$4.5K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-319
$-319INV $4.5K · WR 61.2%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 50¢·8,157.1 shares
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$836
+$836INV $4.1K · WR 85.8%
K
korda77
Entry 49¢·6,145.2 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$709
+$709INV $3.0K · WR 85.2%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 45¢·4,991 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$786
+$786INV $2.2K · WR 85.8%
M
merod
Entry 49¢·3,652 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$428
+$428INV $1.8K · WR 84.1%
P
poli.monaco
Entry 45¢·2,603.2 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
+$410
+$410INV $1.2K · WR 75.6%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 60¢·1,623.3 shares·also $908 on YES
Invested
$968
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $968 · WR 55.3%
Showing top 10 of 105
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