Tech/AIResolved
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$382.4K
4,755 trades
Smart Whales
119
of 821 traders
Smart Money Consensus
57 YESvs62 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $119 is directional: YES $119·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$26.7K
Avg Win Rate
70.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$23.6K(-88.5%)
Whales
57
P
ProfessionalPunter🥇hedged
Entry 102¢·8,679.6 shares·also $1.3K on NO
Invested
$8.8K
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-8838
$-8838INV $8.8K · WR 74.6%
J
JumpingJacks🥈hedged
Entry 148¢·3,723.3 shares·also $1.8K on NO
Invested
$5.5K
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-5523
$-5523INV $5.5K · WR 56.7%
A
aikko🥉hedged
Entry 104¢·3,473 shares·also $1.8K on NO
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
$-3612
$-3612INV $3.6K · WR 87.2%
D
Dragontree◆Proven
Entry 35¢·4,806.9 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-1662
$-1662INV $1.7K · WR 67.4%
R
Rumpelstiltskinhedged
Entry 32¢·3,114.1 shares·also $2.2K on NO
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-1010
$-1010INV $1.0K · WR 57.1%
D
doubleonehedged
Entry 72¢·952.3 shares·also $220 on NO
Invested
$683
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-683
$-683INV $683 · WR 55.0%
W
wengdavidng
Entry 66¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$660
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-660
$-660INV $660 · WR 66.7%
T
tjahedged
Entry 72¢·841.4 shares·also $366 on NO
Invested
$608
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-608
$-608INV $608 · WR 74.1%
P
Pure-Threathedged
Entry 15¢·2,851.7 shares·also $2.3K on NO
Invested
$424
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-424
$-424INV $424 · WR 82.0%
L
lmtfalonehedged
Entry 28¢·1,409 shares·also $1.2K on NO
Invested
$390
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-390
$-390INV $390 · WR 73.2%
Showing top 10 of 57
NO Team
Total Invested
$38.3K
Avg Win Rate
72.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$37.1K(+96.8%)
Whales
62
T
Twin-Cupola🥇
Entry 39¢·29,630.2 shares
Invested
$11.5K
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$18093
+$18093INV $11.5K · WR 74.1%
T
tourists🥈
Entry 87¢·8,088.4 shares
Invested
$7.0K
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
+$1051
+$1051INV $7.0K · WR 73.5%
P
Pure-Threat🥉hedged
Entry 82¢·2,851.7 shares·also $424 on YES
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
+$526
+$526INV $2.3K · WR 82.0%
R
Rumpelstiltskinhedged
Entry 64¢·3,451.1 shares·also $1.0K on YES
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$1227
+$1227INV $2.2K · WR 57.1%
J
JumpingJackshedged
Entry 50¢·3,723.3 shares·also $5.5K on YES
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$1878
+$1878INV $1.8K · WR 56.7%
A
aikkohedged
Entry 51¢·3,473 shares·also $3.6K on YES
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$1712
+$1712INV $1.8K · WR 87.2%
P
ProfessionalPunterhedged
Entry 15¢·8,679.6 shares·also $8.8K on YES
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$7348
+$7348INV $1.3K · WR 74.6%
C
Cheddar-Factory◆Proven
Entry 86¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
+$210
+$210INV $1.3K · WR 86.4%
L
lmtfalonehedged
Entry 96¢·1,247.1 shares·also $390 on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $1.2K · WR 73.2%
B
BabyIBeenWatchingYou
Entry 90¢·1,333.7 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$133
+$133INV $1.2K · WR 65.7%
Showing top 10 of 62
Smart Whale Trades
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