Cheddar-Factory · Polymarket wallet 0xfbff…5830

Wallet snapshot

Cheddar-Factory has made 2,731 trades on Polymarket across 375 markets, $460K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (37%) and politics (19%). On 353 resolved markets the win rate is 86.4%, lifetime P&L +$17K. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?". Last trade: Sep 25, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?No · $470 · 83¢ → 94¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No · $378 · 57¢ → 76¢
• Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No · $288 · 90¢ → 96¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $251 · 68¢ → 84¢
• AI bubble burst in 2026?No · $93 · 74¢ → 93¢

Latest closed positions

• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$0 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes · +$24 · Sep 4, 2026
• Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes · +$4 · Aug 16, 2026
• Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes · +$50 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes · -$252 · Jul 21, 2026
• Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No · +$20 · Jul 21, 2026
• Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.