Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$19.0K
541 trades
Smart Whales
28
of 169 traders · 1 on both sides
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
5 MARKETS · $116.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
20 YESvs9 NO
69%31%
69% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$60 of $1.0K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $204·NO $765YES Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
64.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+74.6%)
Whales
20
H
Hot-Skull◆Proven🥇
Entry 81¢·816.4 shares
Invested
$664
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$152
+$152INV $664 · WR 70.2%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate🥈hedged
Entry 75¢·779.1 shares·also $122 on NO
Invested
$585
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$195
+$195INV $585 · WR 56.0%
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥉
Entry 50¢·427.7 shares
Invested
$214
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$214
+$214INV $214 · WR 63.6%
R
Rr55◆Proven
Entry 50¢·226.7 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$113
+$113INV $113 · WR 73.2%
D
DatosNoRelatoshedged
Entry 57¢·120.4 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$68
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $68 · WR 65.7%
W
Wicked-Porthole
Entry 28¢·200 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
+$144
+$144INV $56 · WR 64.8%
M
Mustafalafel
Entry 22¢·250 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$195
+$195INV $55 · WR 62.5%
F
fountaim◆Proven
Entry 30¢·155.8 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
+$110
+$110INV $46 · WR 82.1%
J
just-bettor
Entry 36¢·105 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $38 · WR 62.0%
C
conherence
Entry 89¢·40.7 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $36 · WR 58.8%
Showing top 10 of 20
NO Team
Total Invested
$974
Avg Win Rate
66.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$956(-98.2%)
Whales
9
L
libratus1◆Proven🥇
Entry 68¢·1,046.9 shares
Invested
$716
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
$-716
$-716INV $716 · WR 68.7%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate🥈hedged
Entry 142¢·86 shares·also $585 on YES
Invested
$122
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-122
$-122INV $122 · WR 56.0%
P
parameter1🥉hedged
Entry 73¢·100 shares·also $30 on YES
Invested
$73
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-73
$-73INV $73 · WR 61.7%
D
DatosNoRelatoshedged
Entry 16¢·120.4 shares·also $68 on YES
Invested
$20
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 · WR 65.7%
S
SingletonFamilyFundhedged
Entry 47¢·40.2 shares·also $26 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $19 · WR 69.2%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 75¢·8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 68.9%
Showing top 6 of 9
Smart Whale Trades
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