GeopoliticsResolved
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$277.6K
7,154 trades
Smart Whales
318
of 1,738 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
260 YESvs59 NO
82%19%
82% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 241 YES vs 6 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $19.4K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $19.4K·NO $31YES Team
Total Invested
$28.5K
Avg Win Rate
72.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$10.1K(+35.6%)
Whales
260
M
Meek-Drummer🥇
Entry 81¢·5,650.8 shares
Invested
$4.6K
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
+$1082
+$1082INV $4.6K · WR 73.9%
I
iutwpfal🥈hedged
Entry 46¢·5,199.9 shares·also $797 on NO
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$2809
+$2809INV $2.4K · WR 74.1%
P
Physical-Genie🥉
Entry 87¢·2,644.4 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$340
+$340INV $2.3K · WR 72.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 82¢·2,000 shares·also $45 on NO
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$354
+$354INV $1.6K · WR 57.7%
L
lamyk
Entry 71¢·2,122.1 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$607
+$607INV $1.5K · WR 56.8%
S
seal7◆Proven
Entry 47¢·2,671 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$1423
+$1423INV $1.2K · WR 60.3%
R
Rectangular-Catamaran
Entry 94¢·1,062 shares
Invested
$1000
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $1000 · WR 78.3%
S
Stormy-Scope
Entry 88¢·1,019.4 shares
Invested
$894
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$125
+$125INV $894 · WR 84.6%
O
okada
Entry 86¢·740 shares
Invested
$636
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
+$103
+$103INV $636 · WR 78.8%
M
molodoyy◆Proven
Entry 54¢·1,117.8 shares
Invested
$602
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$516
+$516INV $602 · WR 63.6%
Showing top 10 of 260
NO Team
Total Invested
$17.0K
Avg Win Rate
83.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$14.2K(-83.8%)
Whales
59
B
Bigggggggg🥇
Entry 51¢·8,920.8 shares
Invested
$4.6K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-4554
$-4554INV $4.6K · WR 85.8%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 23¢·7,641 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1781
$-1781INV $1.8K · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 23¢·6,143.5 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-1441
$-1441INV $1.4K · WR 72.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 28¢·4,524.9 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-1271
$-1271INV $1.3K · WR 86.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 18¢·5,965.7 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-1102
$-1102INV $1.1K · WR 85.9%
I
iutwpfalhedged
Entry 18¢·4,517 shares·also $2.4K on YES
Invested
$797
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-797
$-797INV $797 · WR 74.1%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 11¢·3,584.1 shares
Invested
$412
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-412
$-412INV $412 · WR 84.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 20¢·1,997.2 shares
Invested
$394
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-394
$-394INV $394 · WR 79.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 28¢·1,401.5 shares
Invested
$392
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-392
$-392INV $392 · WR 89.0%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 38¢·1,002.9 shares
Invested
$378
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
$-378
$-378INV $378 · WR 83.8%
Showing top 10 of 59
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 856ms