Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$17.5K
588 trades
Smart Whales
56
of 163 traders
Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats?
2 MARKETS · $28.7K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
20 YESvs36 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 60% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+3 new YES$0+4 new NO$16.7K
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $940 is directional: YES $562·NO $378YES Team
Total Invested
$811
Avg Win Rate
59.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$661(-81.5%)
Whales
20
F
FrozenParasite🥇
Entry 10¢·4,274.8 shares
Invested
$425
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-378
$-378INV $425 · WR 56.4%
V
vinii🥈hedged
Entry 81¢·193 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$157
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-156
$-156INV $157 · WR 65.8%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥉
Entry 14¢·544 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-72
$-72INV $78 · WR 63.4%
Z
z0vulon
Entry 23¢·100 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $23 · WR 60.5%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 12¢·100 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $12 · WR 69.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 14¢·69.7 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 79.6%
7
0x715728b2...
Entry 10¢·75 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 56.4%
S
Shy-Note◆Proven
Entry 14¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 56.8%
6
0x6288e13f...
Entry 10¢·19.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 55.3%
L
luciebot
Entry 14¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 82.9%
Showing top 10 of 20
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.2K
Avg Win Rate
76.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.2K(+96.4%)
Whales
36
G
gmgmgmgmg🥇
Entry 53¢·845.6 shares
Invested
$444
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$400
+$400INV $444 · WR 79.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 48¢·856 shares
Invested
$414
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$440
+$440INV $414 · WR 85.9%
T
trifling_transient - 20844🥉
Entry 83¢·422 shares
Invested
$351
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $351 · WR 55.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 64¢·353.8 shares
Invested
$226
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$127
+$127INV $226 · WR 88.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 20¢·753.2 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$603
+$603INV $148 · WR 72.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 53¢·220 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$102
+$102INV $117 · WR 85.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·127.3 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $64 · WR 79.6%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 74¢·73 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $54 · WR 59.8%
T
thefakenick
Entry 32¢·60 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $19 · WR 66.7%
V
viniihedged
Entry 8¢·202.5 shares·also $157 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$186
+$186INV $16 · WR 65.8%
Showing top 10 of 36
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