Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
YES Price
99¢
99% implied
NO Price
1¢
1% implied
Volume
$11.2K
545 trades
Smart Whales
53
of 154 traders
Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats?
2 MARKETS · $28.7K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
17 YESvs36 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.9K is directional: YES $1.7K·NO $177YES Team
Total Invested
$3.3K
Avg Win Rate
67.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$51(+1.5%)
Whales
17
C
Compound-57🥇
Entry 95¢·1,503.6 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $1.4K · WR 73.4%
K
KiernanMeister🥈hedged
Entry 92¢·729.9 shares·also $1.3K on NO
Invested
$673
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $673 · WR 63.4%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉hedged
Entry 240¢·214.9 shares·also $118 on NO
Invested
$516
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-303
$-303INV $516 · WR 55.3%
V
viniihedged
Entry 83¢·268.6 shares·also $66 on NO
Invested
$222
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $222 · WR 65.8%
T
Tokyo.is.hot◆Proven
Entry 98¢·204.3 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
82.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $200 · WR 82.2%
F
FrozenParasite
Entry 51¢·376.1 shares
Invested
$192
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$180
+$180INV $192 · WR 56.4%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 98¢·28.9 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $28 · WR 59.6%
D
0xd6fdc65d...
Entry 99¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 90.8%
S
Shy-Note◆Proven
Entry 27¢·20 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $5 · WR 56.8%
A
Adventurous-Magnet
Entry 96¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 66.8%
Showing top 10 of 17
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.5K
Avg Win Rate
67.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.3K(-89.9%)
Whales
36
K
KiernanMeister🥇hedged
Entry 198¢·659 shares·also $673 on YES
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-1295
$-1295INV $1.3K · WR 63.4%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 25¢·684.8 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-165
$-165INV $172 · WR 72.2%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 48¢·265 shares
Invested
$127
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-124
$-124INV $127 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·244.5 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-120
$-120INV $122 · WR 79.6%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 26¢·454.9 shares·also $516 on YES
Invested
$118
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-114
$-114INV $118 · WR 55.3%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 73¢·142.9 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
$-97
$-97INV $104 · WR 70.4%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 19¢·455 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-80
$-80INV $85 · WR 85.9%
V
viniihedged
Entry 25¢·268.6 shares·also $222 on YES
Invested
$66
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $66 · WR 65.8%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·122 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $61 · WR 86.0%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 56¢·88 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $49 · WR 56.6%
Showing top 10 of 36
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