Polymarket wallet 0x7157…e799

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x7157…e799 has made 2,975 trades on Polymarket across 571 markets, $82K in volume. Most of it is in politics (27%) and geopolitics (16%). On 312 resolved markets the win rate is 56.1%, lifetime P&L -$62. It holds 192 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?". Last trade: Oct 18, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · $31 · 33¢ → 73¢
• OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No · $28 · 48¢ → 92¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No · $24 · 56¢ → 94¢
• Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?Yes · $21 · 33¢ → 94¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No · $20 · 73¢ → 97¢
• Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No · $20 · 66¢ → 88¢
• Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No · $18 · 31¢ → 39¢
• Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No · $18 · 80¢ → 98¢
• Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Yes · $18 · 25¢ → 77¢
• Will Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Yes · $18 · 38¢ → 93¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?Yes · -$7 · Oct 18, 2026
• Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Yes · +$1 · Oct 18, 2026
• Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 18, 2026
• Will Ron Cannan win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?No · +$10 · Oct 18, 2026
• Will Tom Dyas win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?Yes · +$9 · Oct 18, 2026
• Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Yes · +$91 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.