trifling_transient - 20844 · Polymarket wallet 0x534a…d80c

Wallet snapshot

trifling_transient - 20844 has made 248 trades on Polymarket across 43 markets, $7,376 in volume. Most of it is in politics (37%). On 29 resolved markets the win rate is 55.2%, lifetime P&L +$289. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?". Last trade: Sep 28, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No · $422 · 83¢ → 100¢
• Will Felix Banaszak be the next Chancellor of Germany?No · $122 · 93¢ → 100¢
• Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have fewer than 143 seats after the 2026 election?No · $100 · 90¢ → 100¢
• Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes · $15 · 83¢ → 77¢
• Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have 163 or more seats after the 2026 election?Yes · $0 · 41¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?No · -$0 · Sep 28, 2026
• Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Yes · +$28 · Sep 27, 2026
• Will Linke win 40 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes · +$72 · Sep 22, 2026
• Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?Yes · +$9 · Sep 22, 2026
• Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes?No · +$3 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will CDU win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No · +$4 · Sep 21, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.