GeopoliticsResolved
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$100.9K
833 trades
Smart Whales
32
of 256 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs20 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 9% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 13 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$6 of $5.0K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $461·NO $4.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$980
Avg Win Rate
62.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$978(-99.8%)
Whales
13
J
JoeBlack01🥇
Entry 13¢·3,000 shares
Invested
$380
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-380
$-380INV $380 · WR 60.0%
H
Huludubu🥈
Entry 23¢·1,443 shares
Invested
$335
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-335
$-335INV $335 · WR 65.1%
A
AlfredTheShiller◆Proven🥉
Entry 28¢·516.9 shares
Invested
$145
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-145
$-145INV $145 · WR 58.6%
T
triey
Entry 30¢·200 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 59.6%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 1¢·1,520.8 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $18 · WR 69.8%
Z
zthunderfuryhedged
Entry 4¢·452.2 shares·also $413 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 · WR 71.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 2¢·999.4 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 72.2%
E
Elias.Thornwellhedged
Entry 13¢·22.9 shares·also $23 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 68.2%
C
Crypto-Well
Entry 0¢·2,479.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 56.5%
M
M2sx92kljs42
Entry 0¢·1,064.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 71.2%
Showing top 10 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.8K
Avg Win Rate
87.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$302(+3.9%)
Whales
20
T
Top1-J🥇
Entry 99¢·3,725.1 shares
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
94.5%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $3.7K · WR 94.5%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven🥈
Entry 100¢·1,542.3 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $1.5K · WR 90.9%
T
Talophex🥉
Entry 99¢·604.3 shares
Invested
$599
Win Rate
91.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $599 · WR 91.6%
Z
zthunderfuryhedged
Entry 91¢·452.2 shares·also $18 on YES
Invested
$413
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $413 · WR 71.1%
P
PavtheGreat
Entry 71¢·470 shares
Invested
$333
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$136
+$136INV $333 · WR 62.6%
B
BetterFish◆Proven
Entry 99¢·300 shares
Invested
$297
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $297 · WR 70.2%
P
ProfessionalPunter◆Proven
Entry 95¢·216.8 shares
Invested
$206
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $206 · WR 74.6%
P
PicklePredictor
Entry 99¢·207.1 shares
Invested
$205
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $205 · WR 79.2%
S
Spherical-Doc
Entry 95¢·210.1 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $200 · WR 69.5%
G
Gambler665
Entry 96¢·100 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $96 · WR 88.0%
Showing top 10 of 20
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