GeopoliticsResolved
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$8.9K
285 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 95 traders
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?
2 MARKETS · $9.6K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs3 NO
57%43%
57% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 79% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $83 is directional: YES $66·NO $17YES Team
Total Invested
$81
Avg Win Rate
63.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$79(-98.5%)
Whales
4
G
groth◆Proven🥇
Entry 6¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 65.0%
J
johnashbough🥈hedged
Entry 34¢·44 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$15
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 55.5%
T
trader-9b779399🥉
Entry 7¢·48 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 67.5%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 5¢·49 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 68.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$53
Avg Win Rate
73.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$61(+114.4%)
Whales
3
Smart Whale Trades
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