GeopoliticsResolved
Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$9.6K
353 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 103 traders
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?
2 MARKETS · $11.2K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs10 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 28% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $410 is directional: YES $116·NO $295YES Team
Total Invested
$170
Avg Win Rate
61.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$163(-95.7%)
Whales
7
G
Glistening-Naming🥇
Entry 13¢·765.8 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-94
$-94INV $101 · WR 57.9%
F
FishermansFiend🥈hedged
Entry 301¢·9.7 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$29
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $29 · WR 71.9%
J
Jydyjyd🥉
Entry 11¢·160 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 60.3%
G
groth◆Proven
Entry 10¢·135.3 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $14 · WR 65.0%
J
johnashboughhedged
Entry 40¢·19.7 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 55.5%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 12¢·8.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 68.2%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven
Entry 12¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 75.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
71.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.4K(+84.8%)
Whales
10
M
Mataty1🥇
Entry 50¢·2,178.1 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$1089
+$1089INV $1.1K · WR 72.4%
S
sabsabinxz🥈
Entry 50¢·268 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$134
+$134INV $134 · WR 65.9%
M
ms1910🥉
Entry 88¢·134.1 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $118 · WR 57.4%
T
Taylis
Entry 68¢·146.3 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $100 · WR 59.0%
T
texture
Entry 100¢·77.2 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
92.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $77 · WR 92.7%
D
Debosnys
Entry 50¢·86 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
90.3%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $43 · WR 90.3%
V
vozomnil
Entry 52¢·65.9 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
74.7%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $35 · WR 74.7%
F
FishermansFiendhedged
Entry 195¢·9.7 shares·also $29 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $19 · WR 71.9%
S
ssecondooption
Entry 45¢·22.1 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $10 · WR 65.5%
J
johnashboughhedged
Entry 8¢·19.7 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $2 · WR 55.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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