Geopolitics19 days left
Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?
YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$1.5K
38 trades
Smart Whales
4
of 15 traders
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31?
5 MARKETS · $4.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs2 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%
+1 new YES$1+2 new NO$47
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $162 is directional: YES $0·NO $162YES Team
Total Invested
$21
Avg Win Rate
71.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$10(-44.7%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$162
Avg Win Rate
79.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$23(-14.0%)
Whales
2
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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