Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?
YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$4.5K
263 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 89 traders
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 5?
5 MARKETS · $7.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11←
25¢−8¢$4.5K2/10Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11←−8¢25¢
$4.5K2/10
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11
44¢−4¢$1.3K4/6Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11−4¢44¢
$1.3K4/6
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11
28¢−18¢$6621/9Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11−18¢28¢
$6621/9
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 46% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%
+3 new YES$22+3 new NO$104
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $221 is directional: YES $102·NO $119YES Team
Total Invested
$102
Avg Win Rate
59.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$44(-43.4%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$267
Avg Win Rate
72.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$72(+27.2%)
Whales
10
A
Askeladd.🥇
Entry 59¢·169.5 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $100 · WR 55.2%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 47¢·149.2 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $70 · WR 89.3%
K
Ko-san-123🥉
Entry 69¢·27.2 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $19 · WR 82.6%
Q
quine-zyx
Entry 66¢·25.3 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $17 · WR 60.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 77¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 88.2%
L
luciebot
Entry 64¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $13 · WR 83.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 73¢·15.3 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $11 · WR 87.7%
L
Late-Squirrel-Mecca
Entry 50¢·18.3 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $9 · WR 68.0%
M
melchior1248
Entry 77¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 69.3%
C
Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise
Entry 13¢·36 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $5 · WR 79.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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