Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$438
62 trades
Smart Whales
4
of 21 traders
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 5?
5 MARKETS · $7.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11
19¢−1¢$4.2K2/9Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11−1¢19¢
$4.2K2/9
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11
40¢+2¢$1.3K5/7Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11+2¢40¢
$1.3K5/7
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11
43¢−33¢$5241/9Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11−33¢43¢
$5241/9
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs4 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$134
Avg Win Rate
87.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$98(+72.7%)
Whales
4
S
smallreceipt🥇
Entry 58¢·106 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $61 · WR 89.0%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 50¢·116 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $58 · WR 88.2%
L
luciebot🥉
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $10 · WR 82.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 72.2%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1341ms