Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$619
83 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 38 traders
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 5?
5 MARKETS · $7.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11
19¢−1¢$4.2K2/9Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11−1¢19¢
$4.2K2/9
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11
40¢+2¢$1.3K5/7Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11+2¢40¢
$1.3K5/7
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11
43¢−33¢$5241/9Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11−33¢43¢
$5241/9
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs8 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+3 new YES$14+0 new NO$0
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1 is directional: YES $0·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$141
Avg Win Rate
84.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$126(+89.3%)
Whales
8
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 50¢·116 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $58 · WR 88.7%
G
gmgmgmgmg🥈
Entry 50¢·104 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $52 · WR 79.2%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 88.2%
L
luciebot
Entry 57¢·15 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $9 · WR 82.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 72¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 89.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 72¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 72.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 10¢·8.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $1 · WR 87.7%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 80¢·1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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