GeopoliticsResolved

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$291.7K
83,938 trades
Smart Whales
798
of 10,181 traders

Smart Money Consensus

381 YESvs417 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $21.7K is directional: YES $0·NO $21.7K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 48% YES: US x Iran ceasefire by April 15