Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
YES Price
99¢
99% implied
NO Price
1¢
1% implied
Volume
$330.0K
1,448 trades
Smart Whales
104
of 401 traders
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
2 MARKETS · $699.2K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
50 YESvs54 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 31 YES vs 18 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 95%· net of hedges
+19 new YES$2.7K+15 new NO$171
$35 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
9 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $8.3K is directional: YES $8.3K·NO $35YES Team
Total Invested
$33.0K
Avg Win Rate
72.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$30.0K(+90.7%)
Whales
50
M
MisTKy🥇hedged
Entry 49¢·14,881.7 shares·also $5.0K on NO
Invested
$7.3K
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$7436
+$7436INV $7.3K · WR 69.8%
H
Hakei.🥈
Entry 47¢·10,000 shares
Invested
$4.7K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$5200
+$5200INV $4.7K · WR 71.4%
C
C03B🥉
Entry 63¢·7,449.9 shares
Invested
$4.7K
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$2614
+$2614INV $4.7K · WR 87.3%
T
themagicofcinemahedged
Entry 47¢·10,000 shares·also $7.9K on NO
Invested
$4.7K
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
+$5220
+$5220INV $4.7K · WR 72.9%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor◆Proven
Entry 45¢·9,578.4 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$5187
+$5187INV $4.3K · WR 69.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 68¢·3,010.5 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$906
+$906INV $2.0K · WR 57.4%
B
balthazar
Entry 57¢·3,102 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$1307
+$1307INV $1.8K · WR 72.1%
C
conherence
Entry 64¢·1,979.8 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $1.3K · WR 59.3%
J
JJo
Entry 100¢·660 shares
Invested
$659
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $659 · WR 76.7%
A
aenews2◆Proven
Entry 27¢·2,344.6 shares
Invested
$622
Win Rate
74.5%
Position P&L
+$1702
+$1702INV $622 · WR 74.5%
Showing top 10 of 50
NO Team
Total Invested
$20.0K
Avg Win Rate
72.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$19.0K(-95.3%)
Whales
54
T
themagicofcinema🥇hedged
Entry 75¢·10,608.1 shares·also $4.7K on YES
Invested
$7.9K
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
$-7818
$-7818INV $7.9K · WR 72.9%
M
MisTKy🥈hedged
Entry 52¢·9,684.8 shares·also $7.3K on YES
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-4937
$-4937INV $5.0K · WR 69.8%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 38¢·3,872.9 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1421
$-1421INV $1.5K · WR 79.6%
T
title1◆Proven
Entry 48¢·3,012.5 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-1413
$-1413INV $1.4K · WR 55.9%
T
TimRob
Entry 64¢·1,627.7 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-1020
$-1020INV $1.0K · WR 75.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 38¢·2,449 shares
Invested
$936
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-914
$-914INV $936 · WR 86.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 40¢·1,065 shares
Invested
$426
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-417
$-417INV $426 · WR 79.7%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 53¢·500 shares
Invested
$263
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
$-259
$-259INV $263 · WR 83.9%
K
kaxel78
Entry 49¢·469.9 shares
Invested
$229
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
$-225
$-225INV $229 · WR 85.3%
K
klli27
Entry 34¢·516.4 shares
Invested
$176
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
$-172
$-172INV $176 · WR 85.6%
Showing top 10 of 54
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