GeopoliticsResolved
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$513.5K
3,070 trades
Smart Whales
143
of 910 traders
Smart Money Consensus
40 YESvs103 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $40 is directional: YES $40·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$18.2K
Avg Win Rate
60.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$15.1K(-83.3%)
Whales
40
N
nufonehudis67🥇hedged
Entry 94¢·6,721 shares·also $521 on NO
Invested
$6.3K
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-6324
$-6324INV $6.3K · WR 55.4%
S
StupidMonkeyyy🥈hedged
Entry 86¢·6,420.9 shares·also $1.0K on NO
Invested
$5.5K
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-5539
$-5539INV $5.5K · WR 58.7%
P
Parz1vaI🥉hedged
Entry 136¢·1,304.6 shares·also $655 on NO
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-1773
$-1773INV $1.8K · WR 71.6%
K
KARMASURhedged
Entry 89¢·1,261 shares·also $130 on NO
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
78.7%
Position P&L
$-1120
$-1120INV $1.1K · WR 78.7%
S
sciuboi
Entry 14¢·1,929 shares
Invested
$279
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
$-279
$-279INV $279 · WR 71.5%
P
Productive-Waitress
Entry 11¢·361 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $40 · WR 75.0%
T
Tenebrus7hedged
Entry 1¢·2,638.5 shares·also $5.5K on NO
Invested
$37
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $37 · WR 74.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 1¢·2,000 shares·also $6.6K on NO
Invested
$22
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $22 · WR 57.7%
Showing top 8 of 40
NO Team
Total Invested
$62.2K
Avg Win Rate
71.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$27.9K(+44.9%)
Whales
103
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇hedged
Entry 95¢·6,967.8 shares·also $22 on YES
Invested
$6.6K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$352
+$352INV $6.6K · WR 57.7%
T
Tenebrus7🥈hedged
Entry 96¢·5,707.1 shares·also $37 on YES
Invested
$5.5K
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$215
+$215INV $5.5K · WR 74.2%
P
ProfessionalPunter◆Proven🥉
Entry 99¢·5,110.9 shares
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $5.1K · WR 74.6%
D
Dragontree◆Proven
Entry 96¢·5,114.6 shares
Invested
$4.9K
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$197
+$197INV $4.9K · WR 67.4%
B
Bromley86◆Proven
Entry 97¢·4,678.6 shares
Invested
$4.5K
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
+$164
+$164INV $4.5K · WR 90.8%
C
classified◆Proven
Entry 84¢·4,133 shares
Invested
$3.5K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$668
+$668INV $3.5K · WR 82.7%
R
Roflan-ludoman
Entry 90¢·3,206.1 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$318
+$318INV $2.9K · WR 62.3%
O
Oompa-Loompa◆Proven
Entry 92¢·3,138.5 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$261
+$261INV $2.9K · WR 69.8%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven
Entry 89¢·2,646.5 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$295
+$295INV $2.4K · WR 90.9%
I
iutwpfal
Entry 54¢·3,960.4 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$1806
+$1806INV $2.2K · WR 74.1%
Showing top 10 of 103
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