Politics18 days left
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
YES Price
61¢
61% implied
NO Price
39¢
39% implied
Volume
$42.6K
379 trades
Smart Whales
39
of 126 traders
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
4 MARKETS · $140.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
23 YESvs16 NO
59%41%
59% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 65%· net of hedges
+47 new YES$21.7K+45 new NO$14.0K
$10.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 14 buyers — left out of momentum
12 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $685 is directional: YES $79·NO $606YES Team
Total Invested
$18.6K
Avg Win Rate
73.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.8K(+25.7%)
Whales
23
A
aenews2◆Proven🥇
Entry 48¢·33,354.2 shares
Invested
$15.9K
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$4268
+$4268INV $15.9K · WR 74.6%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 58¢·1,968 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $1.1K · WR 72.1%
C
Car🥉
Entry 42¢·2,306 shares
Invested
$958
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$439
+$439INV $958 · WR 65.0%
M
melchior1248
Entry 58¢·716.2 shares
Invested
$418
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $418 · WR 69.3%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 58¢·94.6 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $55 · WR 74.2%
T
title1◆Proven
Entry 46¢·51 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $23 · WR 55.3%
C
CT-testhedged
Entry 58¢·31.5 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 72.7%
M
mad4xhedged
Entry 41¢·39 shares·also $17 on NO
Invested
$16
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $16 · WR 57.4%
K
kunzix
Entry 58¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 72.0%
X
xiaocencen
Entry 59¢·9.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 76.0%
Showing top 10 of 23
NO Team
Total Invested
$875
Avg Win Rate
62.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$37(-4.3%)
Whales
16
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥇
Entry 41¢·1,478 shares
Invested
$606
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $606 · WR 55.2%
R
rainbowlilies🥈
Entry 41¢·500 shares
Invested
$205
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $205 · WR 84.7%
M
mad4x🥉hedged
Entry 58¢·29 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$17
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $17 · WR 57.4%
G
guangyuming
Entry 50¢·11.9 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 63.6%
K
kromos
Entry 50¢·9.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 63.3%
C
CT-testhedged
Entry 39¢·10.1 shares·also $18 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 72.7%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 40¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 59.8%
G
guligu
Entry 42¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 66.7%
Showing top 8 of 16
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