Politics18 days left
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$35.3K
234 trades
Smart Whales
38
of 101 traders
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
4 MARKETS · $140.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs24 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 73%· net of hedges
+25 new YES$506+43 new NO$1.3K
$133 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
9 smart whales14 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.8K is directional: YES $168·NO $2.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$791
Avg Win Rate
70.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$669(-84.5%)
Whales
14
A
AlphaGooo🥇
Entry 96¢·390 shares
Invested
$373
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-363
$-363INV $373 · WR 60.9%
M
Martin66🥈hedged
Entry 96¢·200 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$192
Win Rate
90.1%
Position P&L
$-186
$-186INV $192 · WR 90.1%
R
rainbowlilies🥉
Entry 14¢·500 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $68 · WR 84.7%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 96¢·53 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $51 · WR 55.4%
L
Lolakis
Entry 3¢·1,420.4 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $41 · WR 61.8%
T
trashtier
Entry 3¢·1,174.3 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $39 · WR 63.2%
P
PaddyAlpha
Entry 3¢·205 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 68.1%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 3¢·200 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 56.0%
K
kitty07
Entry 5¢·100 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 72.0%
V
v54t1
Entry 3¢·78.8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 61.5%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.1K
Avg Win Rate
69.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.1K(+65.8%)
Whales
24
1
1walrus🥇
Entry 96¢·1,424.1 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $1.4K · WR 65.2%
D
Dragontree◆Proven🥈
Entry 96¢·1,227.4 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $1.2K · WR 67.5%
V
v2boring🥉
Entry 96¢·287.3 shares
Invested
$276
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $276 · WR 100.0%
C
Car
Entry 96¢·105.1 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $101 · WR 65.0%
T
title1◆Proven
Entry 95¢·60 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $57 · WR 55.3%
M
MisTKy
Entry 3¢·1,493.2 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$1411
+$1411INV $43 · WR 71.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·53.7 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $27 · WR 79.6%
M
Martin66hedged
Entry 4¢·200 shares·also $192 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
90.1%
Position P&L
+$187
+$187INV $8 · WR 90.1%
2
20260601
Entry 4¢·189 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
+$177
+$177INV $7 · WR 63.3%
I
Instructive-Soprano
Entry 50¢·13.1 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $7 · WR 68.4%
Showing top 10 of 24
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