Politics18 days left
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
YES Price
34¢
34% implied
NO Price
66¢
66% implied
Volume
$34.8K
246 trades
Smart Whales
42
of 117 traders
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
4 MARKETS · $140.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs27 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 10% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 75%· net of hedges
+38 new YES$9.1K+51 new NO$15.7K
$11.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 18 buyers — left out of momentum
10 smart whales17 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $738 is directional: YES $72·NO $667YES Team
Total Invested
$4.8K
Avg Win Rate
73.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.0K(-21.7%)
Whales
15
A
aenews2◆Proven🥇
Entry 47¢·8,947.6 shares
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-1154
$-1154INV $4.2K · WR 74.6%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 33¢·541.1 shares
Invested
$180
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $180 · WR 69.3%
T
title1🥉hedged
Entry 33¢·500 shares·also $1.0K on NO
Invested
$167
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $167 · WR 55.3%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 14¢·500 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
+$108
+$108INV $68 · WR 84.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 33¢·200 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $65 · WR 72.1%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 33¢·171 shares·also $104 on NO
Invested
$57
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $57 · WR 55.2%
K
klionio
Entry 50¢·16.4 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $8 · WR 60.7%
C
chumos
Entry 50¢·16.4 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $8 · WR 64.0%
L
longtoom
Entry 50¢·8.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 61.5%
P
phlix
Entry 33¢·11.5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 60.9%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$15(+0.8%)
Whales
27
T
title1🥇hedged
Entry 66¢·1,553.4 shares·also $167 on YES
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1.0K · WR 55.3%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven🥈
Entry 67¢·800 shares
Invested
$534
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $534 · WR 74.2%
U
UbuntuTrading🥉
Entry 67¢·200.1 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $133 · WR 66.5%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 61¢·171 shares·also $57 on YES
Invested
$104
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $104 · WR 55.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 64¢·38 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $24 · WR 79.6%
S
sunlizi
Entry 67¢·7.7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 60.0%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 59.9%
N
nopoor
Entry 50¢·8.7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 55.6%
P
petoria
Entry 50¢·8.7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 57.1%
D
dadyste
Entry 67¢·6.3 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 64.3%
Showing top 10 of 27
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1022ms