YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$106.77M
163,360 trades
Smart Whales
6337
of 34,810 traders
Fed decision in January?
9 MARKETS · $107.06M MATCHEDSmart Money
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting
43¢−17¢$32.0K13/37No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting−17¢43¢
$32.0K13/37
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting
10¢+29¢$100.5K30/47No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting+29¢10¢
$100.5K30/47
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting
95¢−55¢$64.0K34/50No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting−55¢95¢
$64.0K34/50
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting
75¢−41¢$32.3K13/25No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting−41¢75¢
$32.3K13/25
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting
78¢−42¢$47.6K21/37No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting−42¢78¢
$47.6K21/37
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting
33¢−20¢$11.5K3/20No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting−20¢33¢
$11.5K3/20
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting
31¢−18¢$3.6K2/14No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting−18¢31¢
$3.6K2/14
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4629 YESvs1708 NO
73%27%
73% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.3K is directional: YES $17·NO $2.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$17.94M
Avg Win Rate
80.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.67M(+20.4%)
Whales
4,629
E
elmcap2🥇
Entry 62¢·7,568,772.6 shares
Invested
$4.73M
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$2841067
+$2841067INV $4.73M · WR 88.8%
W
wenyu888888🥈
Entry 78¢·1,596,844.1 shares
Invested
$1.24M
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$357537
+$357537INV $1.24M · WR 55.0%
T
third-eye🥉
Entry 99¢·792,076.3 shares
Invested
$788.1K
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
+$4003
+$4003INV $788.1K · WR 77.4%
5
0x5bffcf56...
Entry 99¢·615,383.5 shares
Invested
$610.3K
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$5047
+$5047INV $610.3K · WR 73.8%
O
Official-Market-Maker
Entry 96¢·627,610.2 shares
Invested
$601.7K
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$25959
+$25959INV $601.7K · WR 87.1%
U
Upright-Snug
Entry 96¢·597,691.4 shares
Invested
$572.5K
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
+$25236
+$25236INV $572.5K · WR 80.1%
T
thegreengem
Entry 98¢·565,395 shares
Invested
$554.5K
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$10903
+$10903INV $554.5K · WR 87.1%
W
wkmfa518
Entry 97¢·513,950.8 shares
Invested
$496.8K
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$17115
+$17115INV $496.8K · WR 85.0%
E
Erasmus.◆Proven
Entry 95¢·422,859.5 shares
Invested
$400.2K
Win Rate
70.7%
Position P&L
+$22664
+$22664INV $400.2K · WR 70.7%
K
Kickstand7◆Proven
Entry 99¢·340,783.6 shares
Invested
$337.7K
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$3090
+$3090INV $337.7K · WR 63.2%
Showing top 10 of 4,629
NO Team
Total Invested
$12.66M
Avg Win Rate
79.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$10.13M(-80.0%)
Whales
1,708
W
Wolibear🥇
Entry 85¢·3,295,459.3 shares
Invested
$2.80M
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-2798291
$-2798291INV $2.80M · WR 75.8%
P
PaulToy🥈
Entry 39¢·4,665,911 shares
Invested
$1.83M
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-1828000
$-1828000INV $1.83M · WR 80.1%
W
Wired🥉
Entry 71¢·1,911,745.6 shares
Invested
$1.36M
Win Rate
74.5%
Position P&L
$-1361244
$-1361244INV $1.36M · WR 74.5%
A
asdasdrgdfg
Entry 93¢·1,101,921.6 shares
Invested
$1.02M
Win Rate
91.8%
Position P&L
$-1024634
$-1024634INV $1.02M · WR 91.8%
H
humanbeans
Entry 88¢·923,403.1 shares
Invested
$814.3K
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-814317
$-814317INV $814.3K · WR 67.3%
7
7G-MAN
Entry 96¢·597,935.2 shares
Invested
$574.4K
Win Rate
92.5%
Position P&L
$-574381
$-574381INV $574.4K · WR 92.5%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 55¢·849,658 shares
Invested
$470.6K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-470630
$-470630INV $470.6K · WR 85.8%
X
XAE12Archangel
Entry 17¢·2,392,272.9 shares
Invested
$396.6K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-396625
$-396625INV $396.6K · WR 77.3%
S
Siziriv◆Proven
Entry 90¢·387,062.5 shares
Invested
$349.2K
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-349191
$-349191INV $349.2K · WR 89.2%
F
flow-trader-at-optiver
Entry 93¢·356,719.9 shares
Invested
$332.9K
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
$-332862
$-332862INV $332.9K · WR 81.6%
Showing top 10 of 1,708
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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