48 days left
Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be above $4T at the end of 2026?
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$43.2K
539 trades
Smart Whales
61
of 219 traders · 1 on both sides
Jensen Huang resigned or removed & Nvidia above $4T end of 2026?
2 MARKETS · $81.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
21 YESvs41 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 51¢
YES 34%NO 66%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 51¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 55% YES by dollars · 19 YES vs 13 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 65%· net of hedges
$9.1K
$5.2K
+50 new YES · 8 smart whales+44 new NO · 17 smart whales
$1.1K bought on both sides by the same 13 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 2 · 3
YES 2NO 3one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
3 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 45h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $8.2K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4.5K·NO $3.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$4.5K
Avg Win Rate
61.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$346(-7.7%)
Whales
21
T
TBill1🥇
Entry 58¢·3,637.1 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-233
$-233INV $2.1K · WR 55.3%
T
tumbra🥈
Entry 58¢·791.1 shares
Invested
$462
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $462 · WR 84.2%
S
StarMaster◆Proven🥉
Entry 48¢·900 shares
Invested
$434
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $434 · WR 55.2%
G
generalVR
Entry 55¢·750 shares
Invested
$413
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $413 · WR 65.7%
H
HighBetaBro
Entry 58¢·500 shares
Invested
$290
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $290 · WR 56.7%
N
Neighboring-Eyebrows
Entry 53¢·381.8 shares
Invested
$203
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $203 · WR 69.5%
S
StupidMonkeyyy
Entry 52¢·369 shares
Invested
$192
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $192 · WR 58.9%
D
DREAMBIG.◆Proven
Entry 51¢·320 shares
Invested
$163
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $163 · WR 71.5%
A
AlpachiniDicaprio
Entry 58¢·250.3 shares
Invested
$145
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $145 · WR 70.5%
G
GamGanapati
Entry 56¢·54.4 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $30 · WR 71.9%
Showing top 10 of 21
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.7K
Avg Win Rate
67.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$626(+11.0%)
Whales
41
P
peterfromfamilyguy🥇
Entry 44¢·3,561.1 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$160
+$160INV $1.6K · WR 59.1%
G
groth◆Proven🥈
Entry 39¢·2,550 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
+$230
+$230INV $1.0K · WR 63.9%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 54¢·465.8 shares
Invested
$252
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $252 · WR 87.7%
P
puravida
Entry 55¢·388.8 shares
Invested
$213
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $213 · WR 59.2%
C
ChileCongo
Entry 42¢·500 shares
Invested
$208
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $208 · WR 76.1%
G
GenaTheBondKilIer◆Proven
Entry 41¢·503.8 shares
Invested
$206
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $206 · WR 56.1%
V
Vale54holi
Entry 39¢·512.1 shares
Invested
$198
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $198 · WR 80.0%
Z
zerone777
Entry 39¢·508.6 shares
Invested
$197
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $197 · WR 80.6%
M
merod
Entry 44¢·420 shares
Invested
$185
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $185 · WR 83.4%
L
Likaseent
Entry 39¢·431 shares
Invested
$167
Win Rate
78.5%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $167 · WR 78.5%
Showing top 10 of 41
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