GeopoliticsResolved

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$3.35M
38,762 trades
Smart Whales
385
of 4,053 traders

Smart Money Consensus

191 YESvs194 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $207 is directional: YES $0·NO $207

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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