dube · Polymarket wallet 0x631c…450f

+$40,189 lifetime P&L · 65.1% win rate · 453 resolved markets · 0x631c2b93ff03c21d29b2b73af4ff965e88ea450f

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Wallet snapshot

dube has made 6,426 trades on Polymarket across 467 markets, $3.8M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (45%) and politics (10%). On 453 resolved markets the win rate is 65.1%, lifetime P&L +$40K. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Jul 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $23K · 50¢ → 77¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $6,711 · 50¢ → 23¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes · $1 · 30¢ → 9¢

Latest closed positions

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes · +$72 · Jul 10, 2026
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No · +$59 · Jul 8, 2026
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes · -$1,442 · Jul 1, 2026
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No · +$2 · Jul 1, 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes · +$260 · Jul 1, 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No · +$74 · Jul 1, 2026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes · +$27 · Jun 18, 2026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes · +$372 · Jun 18, 2026
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No · +$52 · Jun 17, 2026
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes · -$25 · Jun 15, 2026

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