GeopoliticsResolved

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

YES Price
0ยข
0% implied
NO Price
100ยข
100% implied
Volume
$2.28M
10,817 trades
Smart Whales
415
of 2,765 traders

Smart Money Consensus

142 YESvs273 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars ยท 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h โ€” no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ€” all $76 is directional: YES $76ยทNO $0

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 34% YES: Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026