cynical-reason · Polymarket wallet 0xce66…cc64

Wallet snapshot

cynical-reason has made 12,076 trades on Polymarket across 273 markets, $7.3M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (34%) and politics (29%). On 270 resolved markets the win rate is 58.5%, lifetime P&L +$261K. It holds no open positions right now. Last trade: May 16, 2026.

Latest closed positions

• Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes · -$13 · Jul 20, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No · -$389 · Jul 1, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes · -$1,120 · May 8, 2026
• Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes · +$388 · Apr 15, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes · -$952 · Apr 1, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes · +$72 · Mar 18, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes · -$1,126 · Mar 18, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes · -$8,364 · Mar 18, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No · +$19K · Mar 18, 2026
• Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes · +$616 · Mar 4, 2026

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