Geopolitics5 days left
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?
YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$2.2K
155 trades
Smart Whales
4
of 53 traders
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12?
5 MARKETS · $6.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18
37¢−10¢$1.1K4/11Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18−10¢37¢
$1.1K4/11
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18
24¢+26¢$6602/2Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18+26¢24¢
$6602/2
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18
16¢−16¢$2060/2Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18−16¢16¢
$2060/2
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs4 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+18 new YES$97+17 new NO$490
$85 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $206 is directional: YES $0·NO $206YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$269
Avg Win Rate
65.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$11(+4.1%)
Whales
4
J
johnashbough🥇
Entry 79¢·202.8 shares
Invested
$160
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $160 · WR 55.1%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 78¢·80 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $62 · WR 89.3%
J
Jnf17🥉
Entry 72¢·50.2 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $36 · WR 66.7%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 88¢·11 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 68.9%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 767ms